Forecast Scoreboard
The betting market, our model and a crowd of 100 AIs, on every fight the AI crowd has forecast. Updated after every card.
The record
| Forecaster | Fights predictedFights | AccuracyAcc. | ROI |
|---|
| Betting market |
11 |
— |
— |
| CageOracle model |
12 |
— |
— |
| AI crowd |
12 |
— |
— |
| Each AI model on its own |
| Claude Fable 5.1 |
12 |
— |
— |
| Claude Opus 5.5 |
12 |
— |
— |
| Claude Sonnet 5.5 |
12 |
— |
— |
| Astra |
12 |
— |
— |
| GPT-6.1 Sol |
12 |
— |
— |
Fight by fight
| Fight | Outcome | Market open | Market close | CageOracle model | AI crowd | Fable 5.1 | Opus 5.5 | Sonnet 5.5 | Astra | GPT-6.1 Sol |
|---|
| UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan Sat, Oct 10, 2026 |
| Allen vs Duncan |
— | Allen 65% | Allen 53% | Duncan 50.4% | Allen 55% | Allen 52% | Allen 63% | Allen 52% | Allen 52% | Allen 53% |
| Camilo vs Herbert |
— | Camilo 63% | Camilo 63% | Camilo 72% | Camilo 63% | Camilo 64% | Camilo 64% | Camilo 64% | Camilo 60% | Camilo 62% |
| Godinez vs Souza |
— | Godinez 63% | Godinez 68% | Godinez 73% | Godinez 67% | Godinez 67% | Godinez 64% | Godinez 68% | Godinez 69% | Godinez 70% |
| Fili vs Kamaka |
— | Fili 62% | Fili 58% | Fili 60% | Kamaka 52% | Kamaka 55% | Kamaka 57% | Kamaka 50.5% | Fili 51% | Fili 52% |
| Wellmaker vs Tanzilovi |
— | Wellmaker 68% | Wellmaker 65% | Wellmaker 51% | Tanzilovi 54% | Tanzilovi 53% | Wellmaker 52% | Wellmaker 60% | Tanzilovi 62% | Tanzilovi 62% |
| Walker vs Meerschaert |
— | Walker 77% | Walker 72% | Walker 80% | Walker 60% | Walker 61% | Walker 60% | Walker 63% | Walker 61% | Walker 60% |
| Prado vs Bonfim |
— | Prado 52% | Prado 57% | Prado 60% | Prado 55% | Prado 53% | Prado 57% | Prado 59% | Bonfim 50.1% | Prado 51% |
| Price vs Shahbazyan |
— | Even | Shahbazyan 57% | Shahbazyan 59% | Shahbazyan 55% | Shahbazyan 54% | Shahbazyan 58% | Price 56% | Shahbazyan 58% | Shahbazyan 59% |
| Franco vs Ribeiro |
— | Franco 70% | Franco 77% | Franco 83% | Franco 71% | Franco 69% | Franco 67% | Franco 77% | Franco 71% | Franco 73% |
| Allen vs Harris |
— | Harris 72% | Harris 75% | Harris 81% | Harris 59% | Harris 59% | Harris 58% | Harris 55% | Harris 60% | Harris 62% |
| Pereira vs Zhelezniakova |
— | — | — | Pereira 67% | Zhelezniakova 53% | Pereira 57% | Pereira 51% | Zhelezniakova 61% | Zhelezniakova 56% | Zhelezniakova 56% |
| Kareckaite vs Gatto |
— | Kareckaite 59% | Gatto 52% | Gatto 54% | Kareckaite 51% | Kareckaite 56% | Gatto 53% | Gatto 54% | Kareckaite 55% | Kareckaite 51% |