Tanner Boser vs Jhonata Diniz

Odds, prediction and stats · UFC Edmonton · Heavyweight · 3 rounds · Prelims

Sat, Oct 17, 2026Prelims starts 5:00 PM ET · 2:00 PM PT · 10:00 PM UK
Red corner · Underdog
“The Bulldozer”
Heavyweight · Fights out of Edmonton, Canada
Record
22-11
UFC
5-6
Age
35
Height
6'2"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Fight history and price record →
BoserDiniz
Betting market
31%69%
CageOracle model
28%72%
Model and market agree on this one.
Boser · best price+210at Caesars
Diniz · best price−263at Caesars
Now +210 / −263.
Blue corner · Favourite
Heavyweight · Fights out of Curitiba, Brazil
Record
9-2
UFC
3-2
Age
35
Height
6'4"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Fight history and price record →

Fight details

Date
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
Prelims starts
5:00 PM ET · 2:00 PM PT · 10:00 PM UK
Venue
Rogers Place, Edmonton, Canada
Broadcast
Paramount+ (as ufc.com lists it)
Weight class
Heavyweight
Rounds
3 × 5 minutes

Preview

Tanner Boser (22-11) faces Jhonata Diniz (9-2) in a heavyweight bout on the prelims of UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott on Saturday, October 17, 2026 at Rogers Place, Edmonton, Canada. Tanner Boser has won 5 of 11 UFC fights, 3 by knockout. Jhonata Diniz has won 3 of 5 UFC fights, 1 by knockout.

Jhonata Diniz has a 4-inch reach advantage. Jhonata Diniz lands 59% of the significant strikes thrown, better than 95% of active UFC fighters.

The betting market makes Jhonata Diniz a 69% favourite (−263).

How they fight

Significant strikes landed per round, averaged over each fighter's UFC career. Rounds a fight ended in are left out, so early finishes don't pull the averages down.

19
11
Round 1
30
36
Round 2
■ Tanner Boser ■ Jhonata Diniz

More from this card

Full card →

Questions and answers

When is Tanner Boser vs Jhonata Diniz?

Tanner Boser vs Jhonata Diniz is on Saturday, October 17, 2026 at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott. The prelims starts at 5:00 PM ET (2:00 PM PT, 10:00 PM UK).

Where is Tanner Boser vs Jhonata Diniz?

Tanner Boser vs Jhonata Diniz takes place at Rogers Place, Edmonton, Canada.

How can I watch Tanner Boser vs Jhonata Diniz?

ufc.com lists the prelims on Paramount+.

Who is favoured to win, Tanner Boser or Jhonata Diniz?

Jhonata Diniz is the betting favourite. With the bookmakers' margin removed, the market gives Jhonata Diniz a 69% chance and Tanner Boser 31%. Best prices at US books: Tanner Boser, +210 at Caesars; Jhonata Diniz, −263 at Caesars.

What does the CageOracle model predict for Tanner Boser vs Jhonata Diniz?

The model gives Jhonata Diniz a 72% chance. That's its number as of today: it updates each week as the model learns from new fights, and locks in fight week, when UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott is the next UFC card.

How many rounds is Tanner Boser vs Jhonata Diniz?

3 rounds of five minutes.

What are Tanner Boser and Jhonata Diniz's records?

Tanner Boser is 22-11 (5-6 in the UFC). Jhonata Diniz is 9-2 (3-2 in the UFC).

How old are Tanner Boser and Jhonata Diniz?

Tanner Boser is 35 and Jhonata Diniz is 35.

How tall are Tanner Boser and Jhonata Diniz, and what is their reach?

Tanner Boser is 6'2" and has a 75" reach; Jhonata Diniz is 6'4" and has a 79" reach.

Where are Tanner Boser and Jhonata Diniz from?

Tanner Boser fights out of Edmonton, Canada; Jhonata Diniz fights out of Curitiba, Brazil.

Have Tanner Boser and Jhonata Diniz fought before?

No. This is their first fight against each other in the UFC.