The Lab

Other ways to call a fight: a crowd of 100 AIs, and our model put to other uses. None of them ever sees the odds.

AI crowd · next card Sat, Oct 10 Can 100 AIs beat the betting market? Five AI models from Anthropic and OpenAI play 100 forecasters, and each one calls every fight on a UFC card from its own angle, without seeing the odds. See who they pick, where they split, and how they've done against the market and our model. See the AI crowd →

Our model, put to other uses

Pick the fighters and it answers.

Rematch Would it go the same way twice? Two fighters who have already met. The model rebuilds both as they were on the night of each fight, knowing only what was known then, and again as they are today. Re-run a rivalry → Matchmaker Who should they fight next? Name one fighter. The model scores them against the ranked contenders in their division and finds the closest thing to a coin flip, plus the safest fight and the toughest. Book a fight → Rounds Does it go past 2.5 rounds? Any two fighters in a three-round fight: the chance it goes past the halfway point of round 3, and past 1.5 rounds, from a model trained on when UFC fights actually end. Check a fight →

The model's own rankings of every division, and the biggest upsets, are on the Leaderboards tab.