Francis Marshall vs Dakota Hope

Odds, prediction and stats · UFC Vegas 123 · Featherweight · 3 rounds · Prelims

Sat, Oct 31, 2026Prelims starts 5:00 PM ET · 2:00 PM PT · 9:00 PM UKLive odds · updated 1 hour ago
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Red corner · Favourite
“Fire”
Lightweight · Fights out of Coconut Creek, Florida
Record
10-3
UFC
4-3
Age
27
Height
5'9"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Fight history and price record →
MarshallHope
Marshall“Fire” · Florida
Hope“Huracan” · Texas
Betting marketSee market odds ↓
68%32%
CageOracle model
63%37%
The model is 5 points lower on Francis Marshall than the market.
Marshall · best price−238at BetRivers
Hope · best price+215at FanDuel
Opened −205 / +177, now −244 / +200. The line has moved toward Francis Marshall since it opened.
Blue corner · Underdog
“Huracan”
Lightweight · Fights out of Houston, Texas
Record
11-2
UFC
0-1
Age
29
Height
5'6"
Reach
68"
Stance
—
Fight history and price record →
10-3Record11-2
4-3UFC0-1
27Age29
5'9"Height5'6"
72"Reach68"
OrthodoxStance—
Pick game · free · 18+ Who wins? Bet it with $1,000 of play money No sign-up. Tap Win $ under the fighter you pick, or bet the whole card.
FrancisMarshall 10-3 · −244 Featherweight 68%32% Featherweight DakotaHope +200 · 11-2

Odds board

6 of 15 books
FanDuelUS −294 +215
DraftKingsUS −244 +200
BetMGMUS −250 +200
CaesarsUS −238 +200
BetRiversUS −238 +188
PinnacleSHARP −244 +202
Fair price, no vig68.0%32.0%

Line movement

Francis Marshall's chance to win, as priced
Oct 24Oct 25Oct 26
69.0% on Oct 24 → 68.0% now. Pinnacle 68%
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Preview

Francis Marshall (10-3) faces Dakota Hope (11-2) in a featherweight bout on the prelims of UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan on Saturday, October 31, 2026 at Meta Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada. Francis Marshall has won 4 of 7 UFC fights, 1 by knockout and 1 by submission, and comes in on 2 wins in a row. Dakota Hope has won 0 of 1 UFC fight.

Francis Marshall has a 4-inch reach advantage. Francis Marshall stops 89% of opponents' takedown attempts, better than 95% of active UFC fighters.

The betting market makes Francis Marshall a 68% favourite (−244). The line has moved toward Francis Marshall since it opened.

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Questions and answers

When is Francis Marshall vs Dakota Hope?

Francis Marshall vs Dakota Hope is on Saturday, October 31, 2026 at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan. The prelims starts at 5:00 PM ET (2:00 PM PT, 9:00 PM UK).

Where is Francis Marshall vs Dakota Hope?

Francis Marshall vs Dakota Hope takes place at Meta Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada.

How can I watch Francis Marshall vs Dakota Hope?

ufc.com lists the prelims on Paramount+.

Who is favoured to win, Francis Marshall or Dakota Hope?

Francis Marshall is the betting favourite. With the bookmakers' margin removed, the market gives Francis Marshall a 68% chance and Dakota Hope 32%. Best prices at US books: Francis Marshall, −238 at BetRivers; Dakota Hope, +215 at FanDuel.

What does the CageOracle model predict for Francis Marshall vs Dakota Hope?

The model gives Francis Marshall a 63% chance.

How many rounds is Francis Marshall vs Dakota Hope?

3 rounds of five minutes.

What are Francis Marshall and Dakota Hope's records?

Francis Marshall is 10-3 (4-3 in the UFC). Dakota Hope is 11-2 (0-1 in the UFC).

How old are Francis Marshall and Dakota Hope?

Francis Marshall is 27 and Dakota Hope is 29.

How tall are Francis Marshall and Dakota Hope, and what is their reach?

Francis Marshall is 5'9" and has a 72" reach; Dakota Hope is 5'6" and has a 68" reach.

Where are Francis Marshall and Dakota Hope from?

Francis Marshall fights out of Coconut Creek, Florida; Dakota Hope fights out of Houston, Texas.

Have Francis Marshall and Dakota Hope fought before?

No. This is their first fight against each other in the UFC.

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