Brendan Allen vs Christian Leroy Duncan
Odds, prediction and stats · Middleweight · 5 rounds · Main Card
Fight details
- Event
- UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan · Main event
- Date
- Sat, Oct 10, 2026
- Main Card starts
- 8:00 PM ET · 5:00 PM PT · 1:00 AM UK
- Venue
- Meta Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada
- Broadcast
- Paramount+ (as ufc.com lists it)
- Weight class
- Middleweight
- Rounds
- 5 × 5 minutes
- Weigh-in
- Brendan Allen 186 lb, Christian Leroy Duncan 185 lb
Preview
Brendan Allen (27-7) faces Christian Leroy Duncan (15-2) in the main event of UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan, a middleweight bout, on Saturday, October 10, 2026 at Meta Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada. Brendan Allen has won 15 of 19 UFC fights, 2 by knockout and 7 by submission, and comes in on 3 wins in a row. Christian Leroy Duncan has won 8 of 10 UFC fights, 5 by knockout, and comes in on 5 wins in a row.
Christian Leroy Duncan has a 4-inch reach advantage. Brendan Allen attempts 1.01 submissions per 15 minutes, better than 86% of active UFC fighters. Christian Leroy Duncan lands 58% of the significant strikes thrown, better than 93% of active UFC fighters.
The betting market makes Brendan Allen a 53% favourite (−122). The line has moved toward Christian Leroy Duncan since it opened.
Read more on this fight
All articles →How they fight
Significant strikes landed per round, averaged over each fighter's UFC career. Rounds a fight ended in are left out, so early finishes don't pull the averages down.
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Andre Fili 25-14 (1 NC)
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Malcolm Wellmaker 10-2
vs Otari Tanzilovi 10-2
−208+176
−240+200
−200 BetMGM+185 Caesars
65%35%
51%49%
Julius Walker 7-3
vs Gerald Meerschaert 37-22
Line moving to Meerschaert, 5 points since the open
−303▲+245
−400+316
−303 BetMGM+250 Caesars
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Francisco Prado 12-5
vs Ismael Bonfim 20-7
Line moving to Prado, 5 points since the open
▲−147+120
−119−101
−143 FanDuel+125 Caesars
57%43%
60%40%
Leon Shahbazyan 12-5
vs Niko Price 16-11 (2 NC)
Line moving to Shahbazyan, 7 points since the open
▲−145+122
−110−110
−143 DraftKings+125 Caesars
57%43%
59%41%
Felipe Franco 11-2
vs Brendson Ribeiro 17-11 (1 NC)
Line moving to Franco, 6 points since the open
▲−400+310
−270+222
−370 BetRivers+320 Caesars
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83%17%
RJ Harris 6-0
vs Allen Frye Jr. 6-1
Line moving to Harris, 3 points since the open
▲−364+288
−300+245
−345 BetRivers+300 Caesars
75%25%
81%19%
Alice Pereira 7-1
vs Daria Zhelezniakova 10-3
——
——
——
——
67%33%
Melissa Gatto 9-3-2
vs Ernesta Kareckaite 6-2-1
Line moving to Gatto, 11 points since the open
▲−120−102
+135−155
−115 BetMGM+102 DraftKings
52%48%
54%46%
Questions and answers
When is Brendan Allen vs Christian Leroy Duncan?
Brendan Allen vs Christian Leroy Duncan is on Saturday, October 10, 2026 at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan. The main card starts at 8:00 PM ET (5:00 PM PT, 1:00 AM UK).
Where is Brendan Allen vs Christian Leroy Duncan?
Brendan Allen vs Christian Leroy Duncan takes place at Meta Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada.
How can I watch Brendan Allen vs Christian Leroy Duncan?
ufc.com lists the main card on Paramount+.
Who is favoured to win, Brendan Allen or Christian Leroy Duncan?
Brendan Allen is the betting favourite. With the bookmakers' margin removed, the market gives Brendan Allen a 53% chance and Christian Leroy Duncan 47%. Best prices at US books: Brendan Allen, −115 at BetMGM; Christian Leroy Duncan, +104 at FanDuel.
What does the CageOracle model predict for Brendan Allen vs Christian Leroy Duncan?
The model gives Christian Leroy Duncan a 50% chance.
How many rounds is Brendan Allen vs Christian Leroy Duncan?
5 rounds of five minutes.
What are Brendan Allen and Christian Leroy Duncan's records?
Brendan Allen is 27-7 (15-4 in the UFC). Christian Leroy Duncan is 15-2 (8-2 in the UFC).
How old are Brendan Allen and Christian Leroy Duncan?
Brendan Allen is 30 and Christian Leroy Duncan is 31.
How tall are Brendan Allen and Christian Leroy Duncan, and what is their reach?
Brendan Allen is 6'2" and has a 75" reach; Christian Leroy Duncan is 6'2" and has a 79" reach.
Where are Brendan Allen and Christian Leroy Duncan from?
Brendan Allen fights out of Covington, Louisiana; Christian Leroy Duncan fights out of Gloucester, United Kingdom.
Have Brendan Allen and Christian Leroy Duncan fought before?
No. This is their first fight against each other in the UFC.