Alatengheili vs Juan Diaz

Odds, prediction and stats · Bantamweight · 3 rounds · Early Prelims

Sat, Nov 14, 2026Early Prelims starts 5:00 PM ET · 2:00 PM PT · 10:00 PM UKLive odds · updated 38 min ago
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Red corner · Underdog
“The Mongolian Knight”
Bantamweight · Fights out of Beijing, China
on a $100 play-money bet
Best price+340at Caesars
How Alatengheili wins
KO/TKO6%
Submission3%
Decision14%
Record
18-10-2
UFC
6-3
Age
34
Height
5'5"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Fight history and price record →
AlatengheiliDiaz
Alatengheili“The Mongolian Knight” · China
Diaz“Pegajoso” · Peru
Betting marketSee market odds ↓
23%77%
Most likely: Diaz by decision, 45%
How it ends
  • KO/TKO13%
  • Submission19%
  • Decision45%
Most likely: Diaz by decision, 45%
CageOracle model
18%82%
The model is 5 points higher on Juan Diaz than the market.
AI crowd
36%64%
Experts
015
15 of 15 experts pick Diaz. See every pick →
Opened +316 / −400, now +315 / −417. The line has barely moved from the open.
Blue corner · Favourite
“Pegajoso”
Bantamweight · Fights out of Lima, Peru
on a $100 play-money bet
Best price−417at BetRivers
How Diaz wins
KO/TKO13%
Submission19%
Decision45%
Record
16-1-1
UFC
1-0
Age
28
Height
5'8"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Fight history and price record →
18-10-2Record16-1-1
6-3UFC1-0
34Age28
5'5"Height5'8"
66"Reach69"
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
Pick game · free · 18+Who wins? Tap Win $ in a fighter's corner to bet it with $1,000 of play money. LeaderboardMy bets Bet the whole card →

Odds board

5 of 13 books
FanDuelUS +310 −417
DraftKingsUS +320 −417
CaesarsUS +340 −435
BetRiversUS +310 −417
PinnacleSHARP +325 −400
Fair price, no vig23.0%77.0%

Line movement

Juan Diaz's chance to win, as priced
21:5210:1222:32
75.4% on Nov 11 → 77.0% now. Pinnacle 77%
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Preview

Alatengheili (18-10-2) faces Juan Diaz (16-1-1) in a bantamweight bout on the early prelims of UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit on Saturday, November 14, 2026 at Madison Square Garden, New York City, New York. Alatengheili has won 6 of 9 UFC fights, 1 by knockout. Juan Diaz has won 1 of 1 UFC fight, 1 by submission.

Juan Diaz is 6 years younger; Juan Diaz has a 3-inch reach advantage.

The betting market makes Juan Diaz a 77% favourite (−417). The line has barely moved from the open.

Expert picks

15 of 15 experts pick Diaz.

Alatengheili0

Nobody yet.

Diaz15

The media
YouTubers
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How every expert's picks have done →

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Questions and answers

When is Alatengheili vs Juan Diaz?

Alatengheili vs Juan Diaz is on Saturday, November 14, 2026 at UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit. The early prelims starts at 5:00 PM ET (2:00 PM PT, 10:00 PM UK).

Where is Alatengheili vs Juan Diaz?

Alatengheili vs Juan Diaz takes place at Madison Square Garden, New York City, New York.

How can I watch Alatengheili vs Juan Diaz?

ufc.com lists the early prelims on Paramount+.

Who is favoured to win, Alatengheili or Juan Diaz?

Juan Diaz is the betting favourite. With the bookmakers' margin removed, the market gives Juan Diaz a 77% chance and Alatengheili 23%. Best prices at US books: Alatengheili, +340 at Caesars; Juan Diaz, −417 at BetRivers.

What does the CageOracle model predict for Alatengheili vs Juan Diaz?

The model gives Juan Diaz a 82% chance.

How many rounds is Alatengheili vs Juan Diaz?

3 rounds of five minutes.

What are Alatengheili and Juan Diaz's records?

Alatengheili is 18-10-2 (6-3 in the UFC). Juan Diaz is 16-1-1 (1-0 in the UFC).

How old are Alatengheili and Juan Diaz?

Alatengheili is 34 and Juan Diaz is 28.

How tall are Alatengheili and Juan Diaz, and what is their reach?

Alatengheili is 5'5" and has a 66" reach; Juan Diaz is 5'8" and has a 69" reach.

Where are Alatengheili and Juan Diaz from?

Alatengheili fights out of Beijing, China; Juan Diaz fights out of Lima, Peru.

Have Alatengheili and Juan Diaz fought before?

No. This is their first fight against each other in the UFC.

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