Francisco Prado vs Ismael Bonfim
Odds, prediction and stats · Lightweight · 3 rounds · Prelims
Fight details
- Date
- Sat, Oct 10, 2026
- Prelims starts
- 5:00 PM ET · 2:00 PM PT · 10:00 PM UK
- Venue
- Meta Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada
- Broadcast
- Paramount+ (as ufc.com lists it)
- Weight class
- Lightweight
- Rounds
- 3 × 5 minutes
- Weigh-in
- Francisco Prado 155 lb, Ismael Bonfim 163.5 lb
Preview
Francisco Prado (12-5) faces Ismael Bonfim (20-7) in a lightweight bout on the prelims of UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan on Saturday, October 10, 2026 at Meta Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada. Francisco Prado has won 1 of 6 UFC fights, 1 by knockout, and comes in on 4 losses in a row. Ismael Bonfim has won 2 of 6 UFC fights, 1 by knockout, and comes in on 3 losses in a row.
Francisco Prado is 6 years younger; Ismael Bonfim has a 2-inch reach advantage. Ismael Bonfim lands 55% of the significant strikes thrown, better than 84% of active UFC fighters.
The betting market makes Francisco Prado a 57% favourite (−147). The line has moved toward Francisco Prado since it opened.
Read more on this fight
All articles →How they fight
Significant strikes landed per round, averaged over each fighter's UFC career. Rounds a fight ended in are left out, so early finishes don't pull the averages down.
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Brendan Allen 27-7
vs Christian Leroy Duncan 15-2
Line moving to Duncan, 13 points since the open
−122▲+102
−210+180
−115 BetMGM+104 FanDuel
53%47%
50%50%
Matheus Camilo 11-3
vs Jai Herbert 14-6-1
−192+162
−185+161
−189 BetRivers+170 Caesars
63%37%
72%28%
Loopy Godinez 14-6
vs Ketlen Souza 17-6
Line moving to Godinez, 4 points since the open
▲−238+195
−190+165
−233 Caesars+198 FanDuel
68%32%
73%27%
Andre Fili 25-14 (1 NC)
vs Kai Kamaka III 18-8-1
Line moving to III, 4 points since the open
−152▲+128
−175+153
−145 BetMGM+132 BetRivers
58%42%
60%40%
Malcolm Wellmaker 10-2
vs Otari Tanzilovi 10-2
−208+176
−240+200
−200 BetMGM+185 Caesars
65%35%
51%49%
Julius Walker 7-3
vs Gerald Meerschaert 37-22
Line moving to Meerschaert, 5 points since the open
−303▲+245
−400+316
−303 BetMGM+250 Caesars
72%28%
80%20%
Leon Shahbazyan 12-5
vs Niko Price 16-11 (2 NC)
Line moving to Shahbazyan, 7 points since the open
▲−145+122
−110−110
−143 DraftKings+125 Caesars
57%43%
59%41%
Felipe Franco 11-2
vs Brendson Ribeiro 17-11 (1 NC)
Line moving to Franco, 6 points since the open
▲−400+310
−270+222
−370 BetRivers+320 Caesars
77%23%
83%17%
RJ Harris 6-0
vs Allen Frye Jr. 6-1
Line moving to Harris, 3 points since the open
▲−364+288
−300+245
−345 BetRivers+300 Caesars
75%25%
81%19%
Alice Pereira 7-1
vs Daria Zhelezniakova 10-3
——
——
——
——
67%33%
Melissa Gatto 9-3-2
vs Ernesta Kareckaite 6-2-1
Line moving to Gatto, 11 points since the open
▲−120−102
+135−155
−115 BetMGM+102 DraftKings
52%48%
54%46%
Questions and answers
When is Francisco Prado vs Ismael Bonfim?
Francisco Prado vs Ismael Bonfim is on Saturday, October 10, 2026 at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan. The prelims starts at 5:00 PM ET (2:00 PM PT, 10:00 PM UK).
Where is Francisco Prado vs Ismael Bonfim?
Francisco Prado vs Ismael Bonfim takes place at Meta Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada.
How can I watch Francisco Prado vs Ismael Bonfim?
ufc.com lists the prelims on Paramount+.
Who is favoured to win, Francisco Prado or Ismael Bonfim?
Francisco Prado is the betting favourite. With the bookmakers' margin removed, the market gives Francisco Prado a 57% chance and Ismael Bonfim 43%. Best prices at US books: Francisco Prado, −143 at FanDuel; Ismael Bonfim, +125 at Caesars.
What does the CageOracle model predict for Francisco Prado vs Ismael Bonfim?
The model gives Francisco Prado a 60% chance.
How many rounds is Francisco Prado vs Ismael Bonfim?
3 rounds of five minutes.
What are Francisco Prado and Ismael Bonfim's records?
Francisco Prado is 12-5 (1-5 in the UFC). Ismael Bonfim is 20-7 (2-4 in the UFC).
How old are Francisco Prado and Ismael Bonfim?
Francisco Prado is 24 and Ismael Bonfim is 30.
How tall are Francisco Prado and Ismael Bonfim, and what is their reach?
Francisco Prado is 5'10" and has a 69" reach; Ismael Bonfim is 5'8" and has a 71" reach.
Where are Francisco Prado and Ismael Bonfim from?
Francisco Prado fights out of San Lorenzo, Argentina; Ismael Bonfim fights out of Brasilia, Brazil.
Have Francisco Prado and Ismael Bonfim fought before?
No. This is their first fight against each other in the UFC.