The experts, graded

Every pick the MMA media, UFC fighters and the biggest MMA YouTubers make before a card, scored against the closing odds. Who really beats the line, and who would have cost you money?

Whose picks

Which cards

Every expert on UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos

Sep 26, 2026 · 35 experts on the table, ranked by ROI

The experts' consensus 58% right on 12 fights · ROI −16.7%

The betting favorite 58% right on the same fights · ROI −20.1%

Picks graded 272 from 48 experts

Group against group

each group's consensus on this card

GroupFightsRightROIFavorite

The media 11 45% −43.8% 64%

The YouTubers 11 45% −38.3% 55%

UFC fighters Too few of their picks on any one fight of this card

The table

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#Expert

1 Jaren KawadaMediaSportsBettingDime 3–1 75% +63.5% 1 of 2

2 Garrett KermanMediaClutchPoints 3–0 100% +56.0% 0 of 0

3 Hank StrandbergMediaMMASucka 4–1 80% +16.4% 0 of 0

4 Danny SeguraMediaMMA Junkie 3–1 75% +16.4% 0 of 0

5 Jero GuerraMediaMMA Junkie 3–1 75% +16.4% 0 of 0

6 Michael ChiesaFighter 7–5 58% +11.0% 2 of 4

7 Michael IannoneMediaFantasy Alarm 2–1 67% +8.4% 0 of 0

8 Lucrative JamesYouTube 7–4 64% +4.3% 2 of 3

9 Frazer KrohnMediaMMASucka 3–1 75% +2.8% 0 of 1

10 138 MMAYouTube 5–6 45% −10.4% 2 of 5

11 The MMA GuruYouTube 7–5 58% −16.7% 1 of 2

12 JakeGerberMMAYouTube 6–5 55% −21.5% 1 of 2

13 DFS By The NumbersYouTube 6–5 55% −22.4% 1 of 2

14 Drew ZuhoskyMediaMMASucka 3–2 60% −22.9% 0 of 1

15 Matthew WellsMediaMMA Junkie 2–2 50% −22.9% 0 of 1

16 Simon SamanoMediaMMA Junkie 2–2 50% −22.9% 0 of 1

17 Farah HannounMediaMMA Junkie 2–2 50% −22.9% 0 of 1

18 Brian GarciaMediaMMA Junkie 2–2 50% −22.9% 0 of 1

19 Matt EricksonMediaMMA Junkie 2–2 50% −22.9% 0 of 1

20 Nolan KingMediaMMA Junkie 2–2 50% −25.6% 0 of 1

21 George GarciaMediaMMA Junkie 2–2 50% −25.6% 0 of 1

22 We Want PicksYouTube 5–6 45% −27.3% 2 of 5

23 Half The BattleYouTube 6–6 50% −29.4% 1 of 3

24 Artem MMAYouTube 5–6 45% −38.3% 1 of 3

25 Drew BeaupreMediaYahoo Sports 5–6 45% −40.0% 1 of 4

26 MMA ExpertsYouTube 4–7 36% −43.9% 1 of 4

27 Drake RiggsMediaYahoo Sports 4–7 36% −47.4% 0 of 2

28 Bedtime MMAYouTube 5–7 42% −49.9% 0 of 2

29 Adam MartinMediaLindy's Sports 4–8 33% −53.1% 0 of 3

30 BetSamYouTube 3–6 33% −54.3% 0 of 2

31 Ethan DiamandasMediaSportsbook Review 1–2 33% −63.0% 0 of 1

32 Ken HathawayMediaMMA Junkie 1–3 25% −64.9% 0 of 2

33 Mike BohnMediaMMA Junkie 1–3 25% −64.9% 0 of 2

34 KunathYouTube 1–11 8% −90.7% 0 of 6

35 Jeff FoxMediaSports Gambling Podcast 1–2 33% −100.0% 0 of 0

How it's graded. Each pick is a 1-unit bet at the closing odds (the books' consensus price). ROI is the profit per unit staked. Draws, no contests and cancelled fights don't count.

Who makes the table. Anyone with 3 or more graded picks on this card. Not there yet: 13 writers with fewer.

The consensus. The side most of the experts picked, on fights with at least 5 picks. The favorite is graded on the same fights.