The experts, graded

Every pick the MMA media, UFC fighters and the biggest MMA YouTubers make before a card, scored against the closing odds. Who really beats the line, and who would have cost you money?

Every expert on UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song

Aug 29, 2026 · 21 experts on the table, ranked by ROI

The experts' consensus 62% right on 13 fights · ROI −22.4%
The betting favorite 62% right on the same fights · ROI −15.5%
Picks graded 233 from 38 experts

Group against group

each group's consensus on this card
GroupFightsRightROIFavorite
The media 9 44% −45.4% 78%
The YouTubers 13 62% −22.4% 62%
UFC fighters Too few of their picks on any one fight of this card

The table

Tap a column to sort
#Expert
1 Drew ZuhoskyMediaMMASucka 3–3 50% +29.2% 1 of 3
2 We Want PicksYouTube 10–3 77% +16.0% 3 of 4
3 Garrett KermanMediaClutchPoints 2–1 67% +14.3% 1 of 1
4 Half The BattleYouTube 7–5 58% +6.6% 2 of 4
5 DFS By The NumbersYouTube 9–3 75% +4.7% 2 of 3
6 MMA ExpertsYouTube 9–4 69% +1.5% 1 of 1
7 KunathYouTube 9–4 69% −3.3% 2 of 3
8 Frazer KrohnMediaMMASucka 4–2 67% −10.2% 0 of 0
9 Lucrative JamesYouTube 7–4 64% −13.2% 0 of 1
10 BetSamYouTube 8–5 62% −13.4% 2 of 4
11 HopperMMAYouTube 8–5 62% −20.3% 1 of 2
12 JakeGerberMMAYouTube 8–5 62% −22.4% 1 of 2
13 Bedtime MMAYouTube 7–6 54% −28.4% 0 of 1
14 Evan TheoharisMediaTWSN 7–6 54% −31.8% 1 of 3
15 138 MMAYouTube 7–6 54% −34.3% 1 of 3
16 Hank StrandbergMediaMMASucka 3–3 50% −36.8% 0 of 1
17 Adam MartinMediaLindy's Sports 5–6 45% −38.1% 0 of 2
18 Artem MMAYouTube 6–7 46% −39.4% 0 of 2
19 Michael IannoneMediaFantasy Alarm 1–2 33% −59.3% 0 of 1
20 Jaren KawadaMediaSportsBettingDime 2–4 33% −60.8% 0 of 2
21 Andrew BenjaminMediaMMASucka 2–4 33% −60.8% 0 of 2

How it's graded. Each pick is a 1-unit bet at the closing odds (the books' consensus price). ROI is the profit per unit staked. Draws, no contests and cancelled fights don't count.

Who makes the table. Anyone with 3 or more graded picks on this card. Not there yet: 16 writers, 1 fighter with fewer.

The consensus. The side most of the experts picked, on fights with at least 5 picks. The favorite is graded on the same fights.

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