The experts, graded

Every pick the MMA media, UFC fighters and the biggest MMA YouTubers make before a card, scored against the closing odds. Who really beats the line, and who would have cost you money?

Whose picks

Which cards

Every expert on UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues

Aug 22, 2026 · 24 experts on the table, ranked by ROI

The experts' consensus 62% right on 13 fights · ROI −28.1%

The betting favorite 85% right on the same fights · ROI +2.8%

Picks graded 272 from 40 experts

Group against group

each group's consensus on this card

GroupFightsRightROIFavorite

The media 13 69% −15.2% 85%

The YouTubers 13 54% −41.4% 85%

UFC fighters Too few of their picks on any one fight of this card

The table

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#Expert

1 138 MMAYouTube 9–4 69% +8.4% 1 of 4

2 DFS By The NumbersYouTube 10–2 83% +0.2% 0 of 0

3 Artem MMAYouTube 10–3 77% −7.5% 0 of 1

4 Adam MartinMediaLindy's Sports 9–3 75% −8.2% 0 of 2

5 Michael IannoneMediaFantasy Alarm 2–1 67% −9.8% 0 of 1

6 Tom AspinallFighter 4–2 67% −18.3% 0 of 2

7 Drew BeaupreMediaSports Illustrated 9–4 69% −19.5% 0 of 2

8 Half The BattleYouTube 9–4 69% −20.8% 0 of 2

9 Bedtime MMAYouTube 8–5 62% −27.7% 0 of 3

10 HopperMMAYouTube 8–5 62% −28.2% 0 of 3

11 BetSamYouTube 8–5 62% −28.5% 0 of 3

12 Evan TheoharisMediaTWSN 6–4 60% −29.0% 0 of 3

13 KunathYouTube 8–5 62% −31.1% 0 of 3

14 JakeGerberMMAYouTube 8–5 62% −33.7% 0 of 3

15 Lucrative JamesYouTube 5–5 50% −34.2% 0 of 3

16 Hank StrandbergMediaMMASucka 3–2 60% −34.6% 0 of 1

17 Drew ZuhoskyMediaMMASucka 3–2 60% −34.6% 0 of 1

18 Frazer KrohnMediaMMASucka 3–2 60% −34.6% 0 of 1

19 Jaren KawadaMediaSportsBettingDime 3–2 60% −34.6% 0 of 2

20 Drake RiggsMediaYahoo Sports 7–6 54% −35.9% 0 of 4

21 MMA ExpertsYouTube 7–6 54% −37.6% 0 of 4

22 Michael ChiesaFighter 6–5 55% −40.0% 0 of 3

23 The MMA GuruYouTube 7–6 54% −41.5% 0 of 4

24 We Want PicksYouTube 6–7 46% −50.9% 0 of 5

How it's graded. Each pick is a 1-unit bet at the closing odds (the books' consensus price). ROI is the profit per unit staked. Draws, no contests and cancelled fights don't count.

Who makes the table. Anyone with 3 or more graded picks on this card. Not there yet: 16 writers with fewer.

The consensus. The side most of the experts picked, on fights with at least 5 picks. The favorite is graded on the same fights.