The experts, graded

Every pick the MMA media, UFC fighters and the biggest MMA YouTubers make before a card, scored against the closing odds. Who really beats the line, and who would have cost you money?

Every expert on UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry

Aug 15, 2026 · 40 experts on the table, ranked by ROI

The experts' consensus 58% right on 12 fights · ROI −14.8%
The betting favorite 73% right on the same fights · ROI +9.9%
Picks graded 333 from 72 experts

Group against group

each group's consensus on this card
GroupFightsRightROIFavorite
The media 8 62% −0.1% 71%
The YouTubers 12 67% +0.7% 73%
UFC fighters 2 50% −35.5% 100%

The table

Tap a column to sort
#Expert
1 Bedtime MMAYouTube 9–2 82% +47.6% 2 of 2
2 Zain BandoMediaSports Illustrated 4–1 80% +14.9% 0 of 0
3 Adam KramerMediaBleacher Report 4–1 80% +14.9% 0 of 0
4 Danny SeguraMediaMMA Junkie 4–1 80% +14.9% 0 of 0
5 Matthew WellsMediaMMA Junkie 4–1 80% +14.9% 0 of 0
6 Ken HathawayMediaMMA Junkie 4–1 80% +14.9% 0 of 0
7 George GarciaMediaMMA Junkie 4–1 80% +14.9% 0 of 0
8 Hank StrandbergMediaMMASucka 4–1 80% +14.9% 0 of 0
9 Michael BispingFighter 4–1 80% +14.9% 0 of 0
10 TheWeasleYouTube 8–4 67% +0.7% 0 of 0
11 Nick BaldwinMediatheScore 4–2 67% −4.3% 0 of 1
12 Artem MMAYouTube 7–4 64% −6.9% 0 of 0
13 The MMA GuruYouTube 6–5 55% −10.0% 1 of 3
14 Tom TaylorMediaBleacher Report 3–2 60% −10.9% 0 of 1
15 Jero GuerraMediaMMA Junkie 3–2 60% −10.9% 0 of 1
16 Mike BohnMediaMMA Junkie 3–2 60% −14.5% 0 of 1
17 JakeGerberMMAYouTube 7–5 58% −14.8% 0 of 1
18 Lucrative JamesYouTube 6–5 55% −18.8% 0 of 1
19 Nolan KingMediaMMA Junkie 3–2 60% −22.2% 0 of 1
20 Farah HannounMediaMMA Junkie 3–2 60% −22.2% 0 of 1
21 Brian GarciaMediaMMA Junkie 3–2 60% −22.2% 0 of 1
22 Half The BattleYouTube 6–5 55% −23.8% 0 of 1
23 BetSamYouTube 6–6 50% −25.5% 0 of 2
24 MMA ExpertsYouTube 5–6 45% −28.8% 1 of 4
25 Cole SheltonMediaRotoWire 2–2 50% −31.0% 0 of 1
26 138 MMAYouTube 5–6 45% −32.1% 1 of 4
27 Drew ZuhoskyMediaMMASucka 2–3 40% −33.5% 0 of 2
28 Drew BeaupreMediaSports Illustrated 5–7 42% −34.5% 1 of 5
29 Nick AkermanMediaBleacher Report 2–2 50% −35.0% 0 of 1
30 DFS By The NumbersYouTube 5–6 45% −35.5% 0 of 2
31 KunathYouTube 5–6 45% −35.6% 0 of 2
32 Michael ChiesaFighter 5–6 45% −37.2% 0 of 2
33 Danny HowardMediaCovers 1–2 33% −38.2% 0 of 1
34 We Want PicksYouTube 5–6 45% −40.7% 0 of 2
35 Lyle FitzsimmonsMediaBleacher Report 2–3 40% −48.0% 0 of 2
36 Cameron ToolieMediaYahoo Sports 2–3 40% −48.0% 0 of 2
37 Frazer KrohnMediaMMASucka 2–3 40% −51.6% 0 of 2
38 HopperMMAYouTube 4–7 36% −54.1% 0 of 3
39 Simon SamanoMediaMMA Junkie 1–4 20% −77.4% 0 of 3
40 Matt EricksonMediaMMA Junkie 0–5 0% −100.0% 0 of 4

How it's graded. Each pick is a 1-unit bet at the closing odds (the books' consensus price). ROI is the profit per unit staked. Draws, no contests and cancelled fights don't count.

Who makes the table. Anyone with 3 or more graded picks on this card. Not there yet: 13 writers, 19 fighters with fewer.

The consensus. The side most of the experts picked, on fights with at least 5 picks. The favorite is graded on the same fights.

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