The experts, graded

Every pick the MMA media, UFC fighters and the biggest MMA YouTubers make before a card, scored against the closing odds. Who really beats the line, and who would have cost you money?

Whose picks

Which cards

The media on UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos

Sep 26, 2026 · 22 writers on the table, ranked by ROI

The media's consensus 45% right on 11 fights · ROI −43.8%

The betting favorite 64% right on the same fights · ROI −12.1%

Picks graded 126 from 35 writers

The table

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#Writer

1 Jaren KawadaSportsBettingDime 3–1 75% +63.5% 1 of 2

2 Garrett KermanClutchPoints 3–0 100% +56.0% 0 of 0

3 Hank StrandbergMMASucka 4–1 80% +16.4% 0 of 0

4 Danny SeguraMMA Junkie 3–1 75% +16.4% 0 of 0

5 Jero GuerraMMA Junkie 3–1 75% +16.4% 0 of 0

6 Michael IannoneFantasy Alarm 2–1 67% +8.4% 0 of 0

7 Frazer KrohnMMASucka 3–1 75% +2.8% 0 of 1

8 Drew ZuhoskyMMASucka 3–2 60% −22.9% 0 of 1

9 Matthew WellsMMA Junkie 2–2 50% −22.9% 0 of 1

10 Simon SamanoMMA Junkie 2–2 50% −22.9% 0 of 1

11 Farah HannounMMA Junkie 2–2 50% −22.9% 0 of 1

12 Brian GarciaMMA Junkie 2–2 50% −22.9% 0 of 1

13 Matt EricksonMMA Junkie 2–2 50% −22.9% 0 of 1

14 Nolan KingMMA Junkie 2–2 50% −25.6% 0 of 1

15 George GarciaMMA Junkie 2–2 50% −25.6% 0 of 1

16 Drew BeaupreYahoo Sports 5–6 45% −40.0% 1 of 4

17 Drake RiggsYahoo Sports 4–7 36% −47.4% 0 of 2

18 Adam MartinLindy's Sports 4–8 33% −53.1% 0 of 3

19 Ethan DiamandasSportsbook Review 1–2 33% −63.0% 0 of 1

20 Ken HathawayMMA Junkie 1–3 25% −64.9% 0 of 2

21 Mike BohnMMA Junkie 1–3 25% −64.9% 0 of 2

22 Jeff FoxSports Gambling Podcast 1–2 33% −100.0% 0 of 0

How it's graded. Each pick is a 1-unit bet at the closing odds (the books' consensus price). ROI is the profit per unit staked. Draws, no contests and cancelled fights don't count.

Who makes the table. Anyone with 3 or more graded picks on this card. Not there yet: 13 writers with fewer.

The consensus. The side most of the media picked, on fights with at least 3 of their picks. The favorite is graded on the same fights.