The experts, graded

Every pick the MMA media, UFC fighters and the biggest MMA YouTubers make before a card, scored against the closing odds. Who really beats the line, and who would have cost you money?

Whose picks

Which cards

The media on UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song

Aug 29, 2026 · 8 writers on the table, ranked by ROI

The media's consensus 33% right on 9 fights · ROI −61.4%

The betting favorite 78% right on the same fights · ROI +6.2%

Picks graded 64 from 14 writers

The table

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#Writer

1 Drew ZuhoskyMMASucka 3–3 50% +29.2% 1 of 3

2 Frazer KrohnMMASucka 3–2 60% −21.0% 0 of 0

3 Evan TheoharisTWSN 7–6 54% −31.8% 1 of 3

4 Adam MartinLindy's Sports 5–6 45% −38.1% 0 of 2

5 Hank StrandbergMMASucka 2–3 40% −53.0% 0 of 1

6 Michael IannoneFantasy Alarm 1–2 33% −59.3% 0 of 1

7 Andrew BenjaminMMASucka 2–4 33% −60.8% 0 of 2

8 Jaren KawadaSportsBettingDime 2–4 33% −60.8% 0 of 2

How it's graded. Each pick is a 1-unit bet at the closing odds (the books' consensus price). ROI is the profit per unit staked. Draws, no contests and cancelled fights don't count.

Who makes the table. Anyone with 3 or more graded picks on this card. Not there yet: 6 writers with fewer.

The consensus. The side most of the media picked, on fights with at least 3 of their picks. The favorite is graded on the same fights.