The experts, graded

Every pick the MMA media, UFC fighters and the biggest MMA YouTubers make before a card, scored against the closing odds. Who really beats the line, and who would have cost you money?

Whose picks

Which cards

The media on UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues

Aug 22, 2026 · 9 writers on the table, ranked by ROI

The media's consensus 69% right on 13 fights · ROI −15.2%

The betting favorite 85% right on the same fights · ROI +2.8%

Picks graded 90 from 25 writers

The table

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#Writer

1 Adam MartinLindy's Sports 9–3 75% −8.2% 0 of 2

2 Michael IannoneFantasy Alarm 2–1 67% −9.8% 0 of 1

3 Drew BeaupreSports Illustrated 9–4 69% −19.5% 0 of 2

4 Evan TheoharisTWSN 6–4 60% −29.0% 0 of 3

5 Hank StrandbergMMASucka 3–2 60% −34.6% 0 of 1

6 Drew ZuhoskyMMASucka 3–2 60% −34.6% 0 of 1

7 Frazer KrohnMMASucka 3–2 60% −34.6% 0 of 1

8 Jaren KawadaSportsBettingDime 3–2 60% −34.6% 0 of 2

9 Drake RiggsYahoo Sports 7–6 54% −35.9% 0 of 4

How it's graded. Each pick is a 1-unit bet at the closing odds (the books' consensus price). ROI is the profit per unit staked. Draws, no contests and cancelled fights don't count.

Who makes the table. Anyone with 3 or more graded picks on this card. Not there yet: 16 writers with fewer.

The consensus. The side most of the media picked, on fights with at least 3 of their picks. The favorite is graded on the same fights.