The experts, graded

Every pick the MMA media, UFC fighters and the biggest MMA YouTubers make before a card, scored against the closing odds. Who really beats the line, and who would have cost you money?

Whose picks

Which cards

The media on UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry

Aug 15, 2026 · 24 writers on the table, ranked by ROI

The media's consensus 62% right on 8 fights · ROI −0.1%

The betting favorite 71% right on the same fights · ROI +8.7%

Picks graded 140 from 37 writers

The table

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#Writer

1 Zain BandoSports Illustrated 4–1 80% +14.9% 0 of 0

2 Adam KramerBleacher Report 4–1 80% +14.9% 0 of 0

3 Danny SeguraMMA Junkie 4–1 80% +14.9% 0 of 0

4 Matthew WellsMMA Junkie 4–1 80% +14.9% 0 of 0

5 Ken HathawayMMA Junkie 4–1 80% +14.9% 0 of 0

6 George GarciaMMA Junkie 4–1 80% +14.9% 0 of 0

7 Hank StrandbergMMASucka 4–1 80% +14.9% 0 of 0

8 Nick BaldwintheScore 4–2 67% −4.3% 0 of 1

9 Tom TaylorBleacher Report 3–2 60% −10.9% 0 of 1

10 Jero GuerraMMA Junkie 3–2 60% −10.9% 0 of 1

11 Mike BohnMMA Junkie 3–2 60% −14.5% 0 of 1

12 Nolan KingMMA Junkie 3–2 60% −22.2% 0 of 1

13 Farah HannounMMA Junkie 3–2 60% −22.2% 0 of 1

14 Brian GarciaMMA Junkie 3–2 60% −22.2% 0 of 1

15 Cole SheltonRotoWire 2–2 50% −31.0% 0 of 1

16 Drew ZuhoskyMMASucka 2–3 40% −33.5% 0 of 2

17 Drew BeaupreSports Illustrated 5–7 42% −34.5% 1 of 5

18 Nick AkermanBleacher Report 2–2 50% −35.0% 0 of 1

19 Danny HowardCovers 1–2 33% −38.2% 0 of 1

20 Lyle FitzsimmonsBleacher Report 2–3 40% −48.0% 0 of 2

21 Cameron ToolieYahoo Sports 2–3 40% −48.0% 0 of 2

22 Frazer KrohnMMASucka 2–3 40% −51.6% 0 of 2

23 Simon SamanoMMA Junkie 1–4 20% −77.4% 0 of 3

24 Matt EricksonMMA Junkie 0–5 0% −100.0% 0 of 4

How it's graded. Each pick is a 1-unit bet at the closing odds (the books' consensus price). ROI is the profit per unit staked. Draws, no contests and cancelled fights don't count.

Who makes the table. Anyone with 3 or more graded picks on this card. Not there yet: 13 writers with fewer.

The consensus. The side most of the media picked, on fights with at least 3 of their picks. The favorite is graded on the same fights.