UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman
Results, closing odds and the model's pre-fight numbers
UFC Fight Night results
All 12 fightsUpsets
Biggest first. The percentage is the winner's chance at the closing line, with the bookmakers' margin removed.
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani def. Seokhyeon Ko decision, 3 rounds · 38% at the close (+150) Felipe Franco def. Levi Rodrigues Jr. KO/TKO, round 2 (1:40) · 43% at the close (+123) Jose Delgado def. Austin Bashi decision, 3 rounds · 46% at the close (+106) Ezra Elliott def. Damien Anderson decision, 3 rounds · 47% at the close RJ Harris def. Alvin Hines KO/TKO, round 1 (1:40) · 48% at the close (−103)Bonuses
ufc.com hasn't posted the bonuses yet.
Model against market
The fights where our model and the closing line picked different winners. They split on 1; the model was right on 1.
RJ Harris def. Alvin Hines Model right · model 52%, close 48%Every result
Dricus Du Plessis
def. Kamaru Usman
decision, 5 rounds
−205+163
−240+205
——
64%36%
67%33%
Christian Leroy Duncan
def. Jared Cannonier
decision, 3 rounds
−385+290
−325+275
——
76%24%
79%21%
Chase Hooper
def. Mitch Ramirez
submission, round 1 (2:15)
−375+285
−255+215
——
75%25%
78%22%
Fatima Kline
def. Tabatha Ricci
decision, 3 rounds
−500+370
−300+250
——
80%20%
82%18%
Tommy McMillen
def. Alberto Montes
KO/TKO, round 3 (3:29)
−195+155
+125−145
——
63%37%
61%39%
def. Austin Bashi
decision, 3 roundsUnderdog won
+106−130
−170+145
——
46%54%
49%51%
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani
def. Seokhyeon Ko
decision, 3 roundsUnderdog won
+150−186
+210−250
——
38%62%
34%66%
Felipe Franco
def. Levi Rodrigues Jr.
KO/TKO, round 2 (1:40)Underdog won
+123−152
−110−110
——
43%57%
44%56%
Ezra Elliott
def. Damien Anderson
decision, 3 roundsUnderdog won
—−124
——
——
47%53%
——
Alden Coria
def. Stewart Nicoll
decision, 3 rounds
−1000+700
−800+550
——
88%12%
91%9%
RJ Harris
def. Alvin Hines
KO/TKO, round 1 (1:40)Underdog won
−103−121
−200+170
——
48%52%
52%48%
Dione Barbosa
def. Anna Melisano
submission, round 1 (4:04)
−670+480
−280+240
——
83%17%
85%15%
UFC Fight Night recap
Dricus Du Plessis beat Kamaru Usman by decision, 5 rounds in the main event of UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman on Saturday, July 18, 2026.
Favourites won 7 of the 12 fights with closing odds. The biggest upset was Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani over Seokhyeon Ko: the closing line gave Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani a 38% chance (+150). In all, 5 underdogs won. By method: 3 knockouts, 2 submissions and 7 decisions.
The CageOracle model and the betting market disagreed on 1 fight; the model was right on 1.
Questions and answers
Who won the main event of UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman?
Dricus Du Plessis beat Kamaru Usman by decision, 5 rounds.
What were the upsets at UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman?
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani over Seokhyeon Ko (38% at the close), Felipe Franco over Levi Rodrigues Jr. (43% at the close), Jose Delgado over Austin Bashi (46% at the close), Ezra Elliott over Damien Anderson (47% at the close) and RJ Harris over Alvin Hines (48% at the close).
When was UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman?
UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman took place on Saturday, July 18, 2026.
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