Rafael Tobias vs Lucas Fernando
Result, odds and stats · Light Heavyweight · 3 rounds · Early Prelims
Sat, Aug 15, 2026Odds at the close
Red corner · Underdog
Light Heavyweight
Record
14-2
UFC
0-1
Age
23
Height
6'2"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Record and age going into this fight.
Fight history and price record → TobiasFernando
Closing line
28%72%
CageOracle model
32%68%
The model was 4 points lower on Lucas Fernando than the market.
Opened +177 / −205, closed +240 / −303. The line moved toward Lucas Fernando since it opened.
Blue corner · Favourite
Record
13-3
UFC
0-0
Age
29
Height
6'3"
Reach
80"
Stance
—
Record and age going into this fight.
Fight history and price record → Fight stats
Rafael TobiasLucas Fernando
Significant strikes13 of 5669 of 115
Knockdowns02
Takedowns1 of 10 of 0
Control time0:550:09
Submission attempts00
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52%48%
48%52%
Dustin Stoltzfus
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−115−115
+476−650
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50%50%
12%88%
Esteban Ribovics
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−769+530
−300+245
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85%15%
89%11%
Chidi Njokuani
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+275−345
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26%74%
17%83%
Charles Johnson
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submission, round 3 (1:36)
−118−102
——
——
52%48%
52%48%
Donte Johnson
def. Eric McConico
KO/TKO, round 1 (1:38)
−333+270
−225+189
——
74%26%
83%17%
Tresean Gore
def. Vicente Luque
decision, 3 rounds
−116−104
−110−110
——
51%49%
44%56%
Neil Magny
def. Ramiz Brahimaj
KO/TKO, round 2 (3:20)Underdog won
+125−149
+105−125
——
43%57%
44%56%
Jeremiah Wells
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submission, round 3 (1:24)Underdog won
+750−1250
+263−325
——
11%89%
6%94%

