Joshua Van vs Manel Kape

Odds, prediction and stats · Flyweight · 5 rounds · Main Card

Sat, Jan 30, 2027Scheduled for 5:00 PM ET · 2:00 PM PT · 10:00 PM UK
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Red corner · Favourite
“The Fearless”
Flyweight · Fights out of Houston, Texas
Record
18-2
UFC
11-1
Age
25
Height
5'5"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Fight history and price record →
VanKape
Van“The Fearless” · Texas
Kape“StarBoy” · Portugal
Betting marketSee market odds ↓
52%48%
CageOracle model
57%43%
The model is 5 points higher on Joshua Van than the market.
Van · best price−120at BetRivers
Kape · best price+105at DraftKings
Now −125 / −103.
Blue corner · Underdog
“StarBoy”
Flyweight · Fights out of Porto, Portugal
Record
23-7
UFC
8-3
Age
32
Height
5'5"
Reach
68"
Stance
Southpaw
Fight history and price record →
18-2Record23-7
11-1UFC8-3
25Age32
5'5"Height5'5"
65"Reach68"
OrthodoxStanceSouthpaw

Odds board

3 of 5 books
DraftKingsUS −125 +105
CaesarsUS −125 −105
BetRiversUS −120 −103
Fair price, no vig52.0%48.0%

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Preview

Joshua Van (18-2) faces Manel Kape (23-7) in the main event of UFC 336: Van vs. Kape, a flyweight title fight, on Saturday, January 30, 2027 at Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, Canada. Joshua Van has won 11 of 12 UFC fights, 4 by knockout, and comes in on 8 wins in a row. Manel Kape has won 8 of 11 UFC fights, 6 by knockout, and comes in on 4 wins in a row.

Joshua Van is 7 years younger; Manel Kape has a 3-inch reach advantage. Joshua Van lands 8.26 significant strikes a minute, better than 99% of active UFC fighters. Manel Kape lands 55% of the significant strikes thrown, better than 86% of active UFC fighters. Joshua Van and Manel Kape have 4 common UFC opponents: Alexandre Pantoja, Brandon Royval, Bruno Silva and Zhalgas Zhumagulov.

The betting market makes Joshua Van a 52% favourite (−125).

How they fight

23
14
Round 1
52
23
Round 2
■ Joshua Van ■ Manel Kape Rounds 4 and 5 not shown: too few of them to average.

Common opponents

Joshua Van
Won · decision, 5 rounds
Sep 2026 · landed 1.4 more significant strikes a minute
Manel Kape
Lost · decision, 3 rounds
Feb 2021 · Pantoja landed 1.7 more a minute
Joshua Van
Won · decision, 3 rounds
Jun 2025 · Royval landed 0.7 more a minute
Manel Kape
Won · KO/TKO, round 1
Dec 2025 · even on significant strikes
Joshua Van
Won · KO/TKO, round 3
Jun 2025 · landed 3.5 more significant strikes a minute
Manel Kape
Won · KO/TKO, round 3
Dec 2024 · landed 4.5 more significant strikes a minute
Joshua Van
Won · decision, 3 rounds
Jun 2023 · landed 1.1 more significant strikes a minute
Manel Kape
Won · KO/TKO, round 1
Dec 2021 · landed 5.5 more significant strikes a minute

More from this card

Full card →

Questions and answers

When is Joshua Van vs Manel Kape?

Joshua Van vs Manel Kape is on Saturday, January 30, 2027 at UFC 336: Van vs. Kape. Scheduled for 5:00 PM ET (2:00 PM PT, 10:00 PM UK).

Where is Joshua Van vs Manel Kape?

Joshua Van vs Manel Kape takes place at Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, Canada.

How can I watch Joshua Van vs Manel Kape?

ufc.com lists the main card on Paramount+.

Who is favoured to win, Joshua Van or Manel Kape?

Joshua Van is the betting favourite. With the bookmakers' margin removed, the market gives Joshua Van a 52% chance and Manel Kape 48%. Best prices at US books: Joshua Van, −120 at BetRivers; Manel Kape, +105 at DraftKings.

What does the CageOracle model predict for Joshua Van vs Manel Kape?

The model gives Joshua Van a 57% chance. That's its number as of today: it updates each week as the model learns from new fights, and locks in fight week, when UFC 336: Van vs. Kape is the next UFC card.

Is Joshua Van vs Manel Kape a title fight?

Yes, for the UFC Flyweight title.

How many rounds is Joshua Van vs Manel Kape?

5 rounds of five minutes.

What are Joshua Van and Manel Kape's records?

Joshua Van is 18-2 (11-1 in the UFC). Manel Kape is 23-7 (8-3 in the UFC).

How old are Joshua Van and Manel Kape?

Joshua Van is 25 and Manel Kape is 32.

How tall are Joshua Van and Manel Kape, and what is their reach?

Joshua Van is 5'5" and has a 65" reach; Manel Kape is 5'5" and has a 68" reach.

Where are Joshua Van and Manel Kape from?

Joshua Van fights out of Houston, Texas; Manel Kape fights out of Porto, Portugal.

Have Joshua Van and Manel Kape fought before?

No. This is their first fight against each other in the UFC.

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