Carlos Prates vs Michael Morales

Odds, prediction and stats · Welterweight · 5 rounds · Main Card

Sat, Jan 30, 2027Scheduled for 5:00 PM ET · 2:00 PM PT · 10:00 PM UK
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Red corner · Favourite
“The Nightmare”
Welterweight · Fights out of Taubate, Brazil
Record
24-7
UFC
7-1
Age
33
Height
6'1"
Reach
78"
Stance
Switch
Fight history and price record →
PratesMorales
Prates“The Nightmare” · Brazil
MoralesMexico
Betting marketSee market odds ↓
58%42%
CageOracle model
52%48%
The model is 6 points lower on Carlos Prates than the market.
Prates · best price−149at Caesars
Morales · best price+145at DraftKings
Now −159 / +128.
Blue corner · Underdog
Welterweight · Fights out of Tijuana, Mexico
Record
19-0
UFC
7-0
Age
27
Height
6'0"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Fight history and price record →
24-7Record19-0
7-1UFC7-0
33Age27
6'1"Height6'0"
78"Reach79"
SwitchStanceOrthodox

Odds board

3 of 5 books
DraftKingsUS −175 +145
CaesarsUS −149 +120
BetRiversUS −159 +128
Fair price, no vig58.3%41.7%

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Preview

Carlos Prates (24-7) faces Michael Morales (19-0) in a welterweight title fight on the main card of UFC 336: Van vs. Kape on Saturday, January 30, 2027 at Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, Canada. Carlos Prates has won 7 of 8 UFC fights, 7 by knockout, and comes in on 3 wins in a row. Michael Morales has won 7 of 7 UFC fights, 5 by knockout, and comes in on 7 wins in a row.

Michael Morales is 6 years younger. Carlos Prates lands 54% of the significant strikes thrown, better than 81% of active UFC fighters. Michael Morales stops 88% of opponents' takedown attempts, better than 95% of active UFC fighters. Carlos Prates and Michael Morales have 2 common UFC opponents: Neil Magny and Trevin Giles.

The betting market makes Carlos Prates a 58% favourite (−159).

How they fight

17
22
Round 1
24
33
Round 2
■ Carlos Prates ■ Michael Morales Rounds 4 and 5 not shown: too few of them to average.

Common opponents

Carlos Prates
Won · KO/TKO, round 1
Nov 2024 · landed 0.4 more significant strikes a minute
Michael Morales
Won · KO/TKO, round 1
Aug 2024 · landed 6.2 more significant strikes a minute
Carlos Prates
Won · KO/TKO, round 2
Feb 2024 · Giles landed 3.4 more a minute
Michael Morales
Won · KO/TKO, round 1
Jan 2022 · landed 4.4 more significant strikes a minute

More from this card

Full card →

Questions and answers

When is Carlos Prates vs Michael Morales?

Carlos Prates vs Michael Morales is on Saturday, January 30, 2027 at UFC 336: Van vs. Kape. Scheduled for 5:00 PM ET (2:00 PM PT, 10:00 PM UK).

Where is Carlos Prates vs Michael Morales?

Carlos Prates vs Michael Morales takes place at Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, Canada.

How can I watch Carlos Prates vs Michael Morales?

ufc.com lists the main card on Paramount+.

Who is favoured to win, Carlos Prates or Michael Morales?

Carlos Prates is the betting favourite. With the bookmakers' margin removed, the market gives Carlos Prates a 58% chance and Michael Morales 42%. Best prices at US books: Carlos Prates, −149 at Caesars; Michael Morales, +145 at DraftKings.

What does the CageOracle model predict for Carlos Prates vs Michael Morales?

The model gives Carlos Prates a 52% chance. That's its number as of today: it updates each week as the model learns from new fights, and locks in fight week, when UFC 336: Van vs. Kape is the next UFC card.

Is Carlos Prates vs Michael Morales a title fight?

Yes, for the UFC Welterweight title.

How many rounds is Carlos Prates vs Michael Morales?

5 rounds of five minutes.

What are Carlos Prates and Michael Morales's records?

Carlos Prates is 24-7 (7-1 in the UFC). Michael Morales is 19-0 (7-0 in the UFC).

How old are Carlos Prates and Michael Morales?

Carlos Prates is 33 and Michael Morales is 27.

How tall are Carlos Prates and Michael Morales, and what is their reach?

Carlos Prates is 6'1" and has a 78" reach; Michael Morales is 6'0" and has a 79" reach.

Where are Carlos Prates and Michael Morales from?

Carlos Prates fights out of Taubate, Brazil; Michael Morales fights out of Tijuana, Mexico.

Have Carlos Prates and Michael Morales fought before?

No. This is their first fight against each other in the UFC.

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