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UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez

Results, closing odds and the model's pre-fight numbers

Sat, Aug 1, 202614 fights · 3 won by the underdog

UFC Fight Night results

All 14 fights
Main event Uros Medic def. Daniel Rodriguez KO/TKO, round 1 (0:30) · the closing line gave Uros Medic 77%
Favourites won11 of 14
Upsets3
KO/TKO8
Submissions4
Decisions2

Upsets

Biggest first. The percentage is the winner's chance at the closing line, with the bookmakers' margin removed.

Gilbert Urbina def. Vlasto Cepo KO/TKO, round 1 (1:01) · 27% at the close (+260) Tofiq Musayev def. Ludovit Klein KO/TKO, round 2 (4:07) · 31% at the close (+205) Noah Gugnon def. Milos Janicic submission, round 1 (1:21) · 45% at the close (+112)

Bonuses

ufc.com hasn't posted the bonuses yet.

Model against market

The fights where our model and the closing line picked different winners. They split on 1; the model was right on 0.

Borislav Nikolic def. Mark Vologdin Market right · model 38%, close 64%

Every result

Main Card
Uros Medic def. Daniel Rodriguez KO/TKO, round 1 (0:30) −400+310 −501+386 —— 77%23% 80%20% Navajo Stirling def. Jan Blachowicz KO/TKO, round 1 (2:56) −323+260 −200+170 —— 73%27% 82%18% Aleksandar Rakic def. Marcin Tybura decision, 3 rounds −392+310 −250+210 —— 77%23% 76%24% Robert Valentin def. Dusko Todorovic submission, round 1 (4:14) −160+133 −130+110 —— 59%41% 56%44% Gilbert Urbina def. Vlasto Cepo KO/TKO, round 1 (1:01)Underdog won +260−328 +300−400 —— 27%73% 30%70% Noah Gugnon def. Milos Janicic submission, round 1 (1:21)Underdog won +112−132 +375−500 —— 45%55% 48%52%
Prelims
Tofiq Musayev def. Ludovit Klein KO/TKO, round 2 (4:07)Underdog won +205−265 +125−145 —— 31%69% 32%68% Michael Oliveira def. Oban Elliott KO/TKO, round 1 (1:49) −377+304 −275+235 —— 76%24% 74%26% Borislav Nikolic def. Mark Vologdin decision, 3 rounds −204+170 −150−2049 —— 64%36% 38%62% Bogdan Grad def. Dennis Buzukja submission, round 2 (4:33) −198+168 —— —— 64%36% 63%37% Mateusz Rebecki def. Kyle Prepolec KO/TKO, round 1 (4:41) −870+588 −500+385 —— 86%14% 81%19% Nina Milosevic def. Hailey Cowan KO/TKO, round 1 (3:41) −526+400 −500+385 —— 81%19% 75%25% Jovan Leka def. Alexander Poppeck KO/TKO, round 1 (2:22) −294+240 −300+250 —— 72%28% 66%34% Stephanie Luciano def. Marina Spasic submission, round 1 (3:20) −333+267 −300+250 —— 74%26% 63%37%

UFC Fight Night recap

Uros Medic beat Daniel Rodriguez by KO/TKO, round 1 (0:30) in the main event of UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez on Saturday, August 1, 2026.

Favourites won 11 of the 14 fights with closing odds. The biggest upset was Gilbert Urbina over Vlasto Cepo: the closing line gave Gilbert Urbina a 27% chance (+260). In all, 3 underdogs won. By method: 8 knockouts, 4 submissions and 2 decisions.

The CageOracle model and the betting market disagreed on 1 fight; the model was right on 0.

Questions and answers

Who won the main event of UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez?

Uros Medic beat Daniel Rodriguez by KO/TKO, round 1 (0:30).

What were the upsets at UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez?

Gilbert Urbina over Vlasto Cepo (27% at the close), Tofiq Musayev over Ludovit Klein (31% at the close) and Noah Gugnon over Milos Janicic (45% at the close).

When was UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez?

UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez took place on Saturday, August 1, 2026.