CAGEORACLE
Get the emailsGet emails

Mario Bautista vs Vinicius Oliveira

Result, odds and stats · Bantamweight · 5 rounds

Sat, Feb 7, 2026Odds at the close
Mario Bautista def. Vinicius Oliveira · submission, round 2 (4:46)
Favourite
Mario
Bautista
Bantamweight
Record
16-3
UFC
10-3
Age
32
Height
5'9"
Reach
69"
Stance
Switch
Record and age going into this fight.
Fight history and price record →
BautistaOliveira
Closing line
56%44%
Opened −140 / +120, closed −145 / +118. The line had barely moved from the open.
Underdog
Vinicius
Oliveira
Bantamweight
Record
23-3
UFC
4-0
Age
30
Height
5'9"
Reach
70"
Stance
Switch
Record and age going into this fight.
Fight history and price record →

Fight stats

Mario BautistaVinicius Oliveira
Significant strikes15 of 2712 of 21
Knockdowns00
Takedowns5 of 70 of 1
Control time5:471:39
Submission attempts10

How they fight

Significant strikes landed per round, averaged over each fighter's UFC career before this fight. Rounds a fight ended in are left out, so early finishes don't pull the averages down.

19
15
Round 1
33
27
Round 2
■ Mario Bautista ■ Vinicius Oliveira Rounds 4 and 5 not shown: too few of them to average.

Common opponents

Opponents both had fought in the UFC before this fight, with the most recent meeting for each.

Ricky Simon
Mario Bautista
Won · decision, 3 rounds
Jan 2024 · landed 4.5 more significant strikes a minute
Vinicius Oliveira
Won · decision, 3 rounds
Jun 2024 · landed 3.6 more significant strikes a minute

Other fights that night

Daniil Donchenko def. Alex Morono decision, 3 rounds −833+575 −500+385 —— 86%14% Kyoji Horiguchi def. Amir Albazi decision, 3 rounds −370+295 −220+185 —— 76%24% Ketlen Souza def. Bruna Brasil decision, 3 rounds −154+125 −150+130 —— 58%42% Dustin Jacoby def. Julius Walker KO/TKO, round 2 (1:42) −167+140 −170+145 —— 60%40% Wang Cong def. Eduarda Moura decision, 3 rounds −357+280 —— —— 75%25% Farid Basharat def. Jean Matsumoto decision, 3 rounds −303+240 −400+330 —— 72%28% Javid Basharat def. Gianni Vazquez decision, 3 rounds —— —— —— —— Rizvan Kuniev def. Jailton Almeida decision, 3 roundsUnderdog won +140−177 +330−400 —— 39%61% Jakub Wiklacz def. Muin Gafurov submission, round 3 (4:59)Underdog won +105−127 —— —— 47%53% Klaudia Sygula def. Priscila Cachoeira decision, 3 rounds —+155 —— —— 62%38% Michal Oleksiejczuk def. Marc-Andre Barriault decision, 3 rounds —+380 —— —— 80%20% Nikolay Veretennikov def. Niko Price KO/TKO, round 1 (1:42) −286+225 −325+275 —— 71%29%