CAGEORACLE
Get the emailsGet emails

Mario Bautista vs Umar Nurmagomedov

Result, odds and stats · Bantamweight · 3 rounds

Sat, Oct 25, 2025Odds at the close
Umar Nurmagomedov def. Mario Bautista · decision, 3 rounds
Underdog
Mario
Bautista
Bantamweight
Record
16-2
UFC
10-2
Age
32
Height
5'9"
Reach
69"
Stance
Switch
Record and age going into this fight.
Fight history and price record →
BautistaNurmagomedov
Closing line
17%83%
Opened +300 / −430, closed +460 / −649. The line moved toward Umar Nurmagomedov since it opened.
Favourite
Umar
Nurmagomedov
Bantamweight
Record
18-1
UFC
6-1
Age
29
Height
5'8"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Record and age going into this fight.
Fight history and price record →

Fight stats

Mario BautistaUmar Nurmagomedov
Significant strikes20 of 5432 of 54
Knockdowns10
Takedowns0 of 111 of 14
Control time0:0410:46
Submission attempts10

How they fight

Significant strikes landed per round, averaged over each fighter's UFC career before this fight. Rounds a fight ended in are left out, so early finishes don't pull the averages down.

21
14
Round 1
37
27
Round 2
■ Mario Bautista ■ Umar Nurmagomedov

Common opponents

Opponents both had fought in the UFC before this fight, with the most recent meeting for each.

Cory Sandhagen
Mario Bautista
Lost · submission, round 1
Jan 2019 · Sandhagen landed 2.3 more a minute
Umar Nurmagomedov
Won · decision, 5 rounds
Aug 2024 · landed 1.1 more significant strikes a minute
Brian Kelleher
Mario Bautista
Won · submission, round 1
Jun 2022 · landed 1.6 more significant strikes a minute
Umar Nurmagomedov
Won · submission, round 1
Mar 2022 · landed 5.2 more significant strikes a minute

Other fights that night

Azamat Murzakanov def. Aleksandar Rakic KO/TKO, round 1 (3:11)Underdog won +100−118 −135+115 —— 48%52% Alexander Volkov def. Jailton Almeida decision, 3 roundsUnderdog won +155−190 +210−250 —— 37%63% Mitch Raposo def. Azat Maksum decision, 3 roundsUnderdog won +375−500 +210−250 —— 20%80% Hamdy Abdelwahab def. Chris Barnett decision, 3 rounds −500+380 −230+195 —— 80%20% Ikram Aliskerov def. JunYong Park decision, 3 rounds −222— —— —— 65%35% Mizuki def. Jaqueline Amorim decision, 3 roundsUnderdog won —−455 —— —— 22%78% Nathaniel Wood def. Jose Delgado decision, 3 roundsUnderdog won +125−154 −115−105 —— 42%58% Valter Walker def. Louie Sutherland submission, round 1 (1:24) −400+310 −350+275 —— 77%23% Ludovit Klein def. Mateusz Rebecki decision, 3 rounds −148+120 +130−150 —— 57%43% Mackenzie Dern def. Virna Jandiroba decision, 5 rounds −145+120 +164−215 —— 57%43% Quillan Salkilld def. Nasrat Haqparast KO/TKO, round 1 (2:30) −127+102 −150+130 —— 53%47%