Justin Gaethje vs Rafael Fiziev
Result, odds and stats · Lightweight · 3 rounds
Sat, Mar 8, 2025Odds at the close
Underdog
Lightweight
Record
25-5
UFC
8-5
Age
36
Height
5'11"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Record and age going into this fight.
Fight history and price record → GaethjeFiziev
Closing line
43%57%
Opened +112 / −139, closed +125 / −148. The line moved toward Rafael Fiziev since it opened.
Favourite
Lightweight
Record
12-3
UFC
6-3
Age
32
Height
5'8"
Reach
71"
Stance
Switch
Record and age going into this fight.
Fight history and price record → Fight stats
Justin GaethjeRafael Fiziev
Significant strikes72 of 13468 of 119
Knockdowns10
Takedowns0 of 32 of 2
Control time1:320:40
Submission attempts00
How they fight
Significant strikes landed per round, averaged over each fighter's UFC career before this fight. Rounds a fight ended in are left out, so early finishes don't pull the averages down.
■ Justin Gaethje
■ Rafael Fiziev
Their other meetings
Justin Gaethje won by decision, 3 roundsMar 18, 2023
Other fights that night
Carlos Leal
def. Alex Morono
KO/TKO, round 1 (4:16)
—+528
——
——
85%15%
Magomed Ankalaev
def. Alex Pereira
decision, 5 roundsUnderdog won
+107−130
+142−170
——
46%54%
Amanda Lemos
def. Iasmin Lucindo
decision, 3 roundsUnderdog won
+121−143
−125+105
——
43%57%
Brunno Ferreira
def. Armen Petrosyan
submission, round 2 (4:27)Underdog won
+110−134
+105−125
——
45%55%
Ozzy Diaz
def. Djorden Santos
decision, 3 roundsUnderdog won
+165−196
——
——
36%64%
Mairon Santos
def. Francis Marshall
decision, 3 rounds
−247+199
−370+290
——
68%32%
Ignacio Bahamondes
def. Jalin Turner
submission, round 1 (2:29)
−142+117
+100−120
——
56%44%
Joshua Van
def. Rei Tsuruya
decision, 3 rounds
—+121
——
——
57%43%
Mauricio Ruffy
def. King Green
KO/TKO, round 1 (2:07)
−556+400
−600+430
——
81%19%