Justin Gaethje vs Paddy Pimblett
Result, odds and stats · Lightweight · 5 rounds
Sat, Jan 24, 2026Odds at the close
Underdog
Lightweight
Record
26-5
UFC
9-5
Age
37
Height
5'11"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Record and age going into this fight.
Fight history and price record → GaethjePimblett
Closing line
32%68%
Opened +176 / −230, closed +200 / −244. The line moved toward Paddy Pimblett since it opened.
Favourite
Lightweight
Record
23-3
UFC
7-0
Age
31
Height
5'10"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Record and age going into this fight.
Fight history and price record → Fight stats
Justin GaethjePaddy Pimblett
Significant strikes144 of 254156 of 311
Knockdowns20
Takedowns3 of 30 of 5
Control time5:550:48
Submission attempts00
How they fight
Significant strikes landed per round, averaged over each fighter's UFC career before this fight. Rounds a fight ended in are left out, so early finishes don't pull the averages down.
■ Justin Gaethje
■ Paddy Pimblett
Rounds 4 and 5 not shown: too few of them to average.
Common opponents
Opponents both had fought in the UFC before this fight, with the most recent meeting for each.
Justin Gaethje
Won · decision, 3 rounds
Nov 2021 · landed 0.9 more significant strikes a minute
Paddy Pimblett
Won · KO/TKO, round 3
Apr 2025 · landed 5.3 more significant strikes a minute
Justin Gaethje
Won · KO/TKO, round 5
May 2020 · landed 0.3 more significant strikes a minute
Paddy Pimblett
Won · decision, 3 rounds
Dec 2023 · landed 2.9 more significant strikes a minute
Other fights that night
Ty Miller
def. Adam Fugitt
KO/TKO, round 1 (4:59)
−588+425
——
——
82%18%
Alex Perez
def. Charles Johnson
KO/TKO, round 1 (3:16)Underdog won
+143—
——
——
39%61%
Ateba Gautier
def. Andrey Pulyaev
decision, 3 rounds
−1000+650
−900+600
——
87%13%
Jean Silva
def. Arnold Allen
decision, 3 rounds
−222+175
−150+130
——
65%35%
Umar Nurmagomedov
def. Deiveson Figueiredo
decision, 3 rounds
−1667+900
−800+550
——
90%10%
Josh Hokit
def. Denzel Freeman
KO/TKO, round 1 (4:59)
−263+205
——
——
69%31%
Waldo Cortes Acosta
def. Derrick Lewis
KO/TKO, round 2 (3:14)
—+250
——
——
73%27%
Nikita Krylov
def. Modestas Bukauskas
KO/TKO, round 3 (4:57)Underdog won
+114−135
+170−200
——
45%55%
Natalia Silva
def. Rose Namajunas
decision, 3 rounds
−333+260
−150+130
——
73%27%
Sean O'Malley
def. Song Yadong
decision, 3 rounds
—+185
——
——
66%34%

