The Lab

Model rankings

Every ranked fighter, re-ordered by the model.

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We take the UFC’s own Meta rankings — the champion and top 15 of each division — and re-order them with the model. Every fighter is scored against every other fighter in their division, and ranked by how often the model says they’d win. The UFC column is where the UFC has them, so the gaps are where we disagree.

Ranking of 2026-08-04 · movement is against our own previous ranking.

Flyweight

15 contenders ranked

CJoshua Van65%UFC C–

1Asu Almabayev59%UFC 5–

2Tatsuro Taira58%UFC 4–

3Manel Kape57%UFC 2–

4Kyoji Horiguchi54%UFC 8–

5Alexandre Pantoja52%UFC 1▲ 2

6Ramazan Temirov49%UFC 7▼ 1

7Brandon Moreno48%UFC 10▼ 1

8Lone'er Kavanagh48%UFC 6–

9Mitch Raposo47%UFC 12–

10Amir Albazi47%UFC 9▲ 1

11Sumudaerji47%UFC 13▼ 1

12Alessandro Costa46%UFC 14▲ 1

13Alex Perez44%UFC 15▼ 1

14Brandon Royval44%UFC 3–

15Kevin Borjas41%UFC 11–

Bantamweight

15 contenders ranked

CPetr Yan61%UFC C–

1Umar Nurmagomedov67%UFC 2–

2Sean O'Malley60%UFC 3–

3Merab Dvalishvili58%UFC 1▲ 1

4Farid Basharat54%UFC 9▼ 1

5Mario Bautista53%UFC 4–

6David Martinez52%UFC 7–

7Song Yadong49%UFC 6▲ 1

8Montel Jackson47%UFC 15▲ 1

9Bryce Mitchell47%UFC 14▼ 2

10Raoni Barcelos44%UFC 8–

11Charles Jourdain43%UFC 13▲ 3

12Cory Sandhagen43%UFC 5–

13Marcus McGhee42%UFC 10▼ 2

14Aiemann Zahabi41%UFC 12▼ 1

15Deiveson Figueiredo37%UFC 11–

Featherweight

15 contenders ranked

CAlexander Volkanovski58%UFC C–

1Movsar Evloev65%UFC 1–

2Aljamain Sterling56%UFC 4▲ 1

3Kevin Vallejos54%UFC 10▼ 1

4Youssef Zalal51%UFC 8–

5Jean Silva51%UFC 6▲ 10

6Lerone Murphy50%UFC 3▼ 1

7Jose Delgado50%UFC 14▼ 1

8Diego Lopes49%UFC 2▲ 1

9Arnold Allen49%UFC 5▼ 2

10Aaron Pico47%UFC 13▼ 2

11Steve Garcia46%UFC 12▲ 2

12Joanderson Brito45%UFC 15▼ 1

13Nathaniel Wood45%UFC 9▲ 1

14Melquizael Costa44%UFC 11▼ 4

15Pat Sabatini43%UFC 7▼ 3

Lightweight

15 contenders ranked

CJustin Gaethje52%UFC C–

1Arman Tsarukyan65%UFC 2–

2Ilia Topuria64%UFC 1–

3Quillan Salkilld57%UFC 9–

4Charles Oliveira54%UFC 3▲ 9

5Mateusz Gamrot52%UFC 6▼ 1

6Benoit Saint Denis52%UFC 8▼ 1

7Paddy Pimblett50%UFC 5▼ 1

8Max Holloway48%UFC 4▲ 3

9Grant Dawson48%UFC 15▼ 2

10Tom Nolan47%UFC 11–

11Mauricio Ruffy47%UFC 10▼ 3

12Tofiq Musayev46%UFC 14—

13Rafael Fiziev45%UFC 13▼ 1

14Renato Moicano40%UFC 7–

15Dan Hooker29%UFC 12–

Welterweight

15 contenders ranked

CIslam Makhachev70%UFC C–

1Michael Morales58%UFC 3–

2Ian Machado Garry57%UFC 2▲ 1

3Gabriel Bonfim56%UFC 6▼ 1

4Yaroslav Amosov54%UFC 14–

5Sean Brady53%UFC 5–

6Carlos Prates50%UFC 1▲ 1

7Jack Della Maddalena50%UFC 4▼ 1

8Uros Medic47%UFC 10–

9Mike Malott46%UFC 12–

10Michael Page44%UFC 13–

11Kamaru Usman43%UFC 11▲ 2

12Joaquin Buckley42%UFC 9▼ 1

13Leon Edwards39%UFC 8▼ 1

14Belal Muhammad38%UFC 7–

15Kevin Holland37%UFC 15—

Middleweight

15 contenders ranked

CSean Strickland53%UFC C–

1Khamzat Chimaev61%UFC 1–

2Dricus Du Plessis58%UFC 2▲ 1

3Ikram Aliskerov55%UFC 11▼ 1

4Nassourdine Imavov53%UFC 3▲ 1

5Anthony Hernandez53%UFC 7▼ 1

6Christian Leroy Duncan52%UFC 10–

7Bo Nickal50%UFC 12–

8Joe Pyfer49%UFC 4▲ 2

9Caio Borralho49%UFC 6▼ 1

10Brendan Allen47%UFC 5▲ 1

11Nursulton Ruziboev46%UFC 14▼ 2

12Abus Magomedov46%UFC 13–

13Gregory Rodrigues44%UFC 9–

14Reinier de Ridder44%UFC 15—

15Israel Adesanya40%UFC 8–

Light Heavyweight

15 contenders ranked

CCarlos Ulberg55%UFC C–

1Magomed Ankalaev66%UFC 2–

2Navajo Stirling56%UFC 7–

3Paulo Costa52%UFC 4▲ 4

4Azamat Murzakanov52%UFC 9–

5Iwo Baraniewski52%UFC 15—

6Muhammad Saidov52%UFC 14▼ 3

7Bogdan Guskov50%UFC 10▲ 1

8Alex Pereira50%UFC 1▼ 2

9Jiri Prochazka50%UFC 3▼ 4

10Dominick Reyes49%UFC 8▼ 1

11Robert Whittaker47%UFC 11▼ 1

12Johnny Walker43%UFC 12▼ 1

13Jamahal Hill42%UFC 5▼ 1

14Alonzo Menifield34%UFC 13▼ 1

15Khalil Rountree Jr.34%UFC 6▼ 1

Heavyweight

15 contenders ranked

CTom Aspinall58%UFC C–

1Sergei Pavlovich60%UFC 3–

2Ciryl Gane57%UFC 1–

3Valter Walker53%UFC 8▲ 1

4Josh Hokit53%UFC 6▼ 1

5Mario Pinto52%UFC 13▲ 1

6Alexander Volkov52%UFC 2▼ 1

7Rizvan Kuniev50%UFC 5▲ 1

8Vitor Petrino50%UFC 11▼ 1

9Serghei Spivac49%UFC 9–

10Waldo Cortes Acosta48%UFC 7▲ 2

11Curtis Blaydes47%UFC 10▲ 2

12Mick Parkin47%UFC 14▼ 1

13Brando Pericic47%UFC 12▼ 3

14Alex Pereira43%UFC 4–

15Ryan Spann31%UFC 15–

Women's Strawweight

15 contenders ranked

CMackenzie Dern48%UFC C–

1Zhang Weili61%UFC 1–

2Fatima Kline56%UFC 6▲ 1

3Tatiana Suarez56%UFC 3▼ 1

4Gillian Robertson55%UFC 4▲ 1

5Virna Jandiroba54%UFC 2▲ 1

6Alexia Thainara53%UFC 10▼ 2

7Denise Gomes52%UFC 8▲ 1

8Loopy Godinez50%UFC 12▲ 1

9Jaqueline Amorim50%UFC 14▼ 2

10Talita Alencar47%UFC 15▲ 1

11Piera Rodriguez47%UFC 7▼ 1

12Tabatha Ricci44%UFC 13▲ 1

13Yan Xiaonan44%UFC 5▲ 2

14Amanda Lemos43%UFC 11–

15Mizuki43%UFC 9▼ 3

Women's Flyweight

15 contenders ranked

CValentina Shevchenko64%UFC C–

1Erin Blanchfield62%UFC 4–

2Zhang Weili57%UFC 5▲ 3

3Natalia Silva56%UFC 1▼ 1

4Maycee Barber55%UFC 9▼ 1

5Manon Fiorot54%UFC 2▼ 1

6Rose Namajunas50%UFC 8▲ 3

7Casey O'Neill49%UFC 15▼ 1

8Alexa Grasso49%UFC 3▲ 2

9Wang Cong48%UFC 6▼ 2

10Miranda Maverick48%UFC 11▼ 2

11Eduarda Moura46%UFC 14–

12Tracy Cortez44%UFC 10–

13Karine Silva42%UFC 13–

14Jasmine Jasudavicius42%UFC 7–

15JJ Aldrich35%UFC 12–

Women's Bantamweight

15 contenders ranked

CKayla Harrison55%UFC C–

1Luana Santos58%UFC 3–

2Norma Dumont55%UFC 2–

3Joselyne Edwards54%UFC 1▲ 3

4Ailin Perez54%UFC 4▼ 1

5Jacqueline Cavalcanti54%UFC 7▼ 1

6Bia Mesquita52%UFC 11▼ 1

7Michelle Montague50%UFC 8–

8Karol Rosa48%UFC 10▲ 3

9Melissa Croden48%UFC 9▼ 1

10Klaudia Sygula48%UFC 15▼ 1

11Yana Santos44%UFC 6▼ 1

12Daria Zhelezniakova44%UFC 13–

13Macy Chiasson44%UFC 12▲ 1

14Julianna Pena43%UFC 5▼ 1

15Raquel Pennington41%UFC 14–