Past Event

UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov

How the model called every fight, and how it turned out.

2026-07-25T17:45:00Z

Main Card

Model pick: Magomed Ankalaev 85%
Model win probability: 85% / 15%
Market odds: -556 / 397
Predicted method: KO/TKO
Result: Magomed Ankalaev won by KO/TKO

The model favored Magomed Ankalaev at 85%. Magomed Ankalaev won by KO/TKO — the model had it right.

Model pick: Steve Erceg 58%
Model win probability: 58% / 42%
Market odds: -105 / -115
Predicted method: Decision
Result: Ramazan Temirov won by KO/TKO

The model favored Steve Erceg at 58%. Ramazan Temirov won by KO/TKO — the model missed this one.

Model pick: Islam Dulatov 84%
Model win probability: 84% / 16%
Market odds: -1053 / 638
Predicted method: Decision

The model makes Islam Dulatov a heavy favorite at 84%. Most likely finish: Decision.

Model pick: Magomed Zaynukov 69%
Model win probability: 69% / 31%
Market odds: -260 / 210
Predicted method: KO/TKO
Result: Magomed Zaynukov won by Decision - Unanimous

The model favored Magomed Zaynukov at 69%. Magomed Zaynukov won by Decision - Unanimous — the model had it right.

Model pick: Rizvan Kuniev 72%
Model win probability: 72% / 28%
Market odds: -328 / 261
Predicted method: Decision
Result: Rizvan Kuniev won by KO/TKO

The model favored Rizvan Kuniev at 72%. Rizvan Kuniev won by KO/TKO — the model had it right.

Model pick: Abubakar Vagaev 52%
Model win probability: 52% / 48%
Market odds: -198 / 164
Predicted method: Decision
Result: Abubakar Vagaev won by Decision - Unanimous

The model favored Abubakar Vagaev at 52%. Abubakar Vagaev won by Decision - Unanimous — the model had it right.

Prelims

Model pick: Valter Walker 68%
Model win probability: 68% / 32%
Market odds: -189 / 157
Predicted method: Decision
Result: Valter Walker won by Submission

The model favored Valter Walker at 68%. Valter Walker won by Submission — the model had it right.

Model pick: not yet scored
Model win probability: — / —
Market odds: — / —
Predicted method:
Result: Muhammad Saidov won by KO/TKO

The model hasn’t scored this matchup yet.

Model pick: Dustin Jacoby 64%
Model win probability: 64% / 36%
Market odds: -169 / 144
Predicted method: KO/TKO

The model makes Dustin Jacoby a modest favorite at 64%. Most likely finish: KO/TKO.

Model pick: Uran Satybaldiev 50%
Model win probability: 50% / 50%
Market odds: — / —
Predicted method: KO/TKO

The model sees this as essentially a coin-flip, leaning Uran Satybaldiev at 50%. Most likely finish: KO/TKO.

Model pick: Sam Patterson 77%
Model win probability: 23% / 77%
Market odds: 412 / -571
Predicted method: KO/TKO
Result: Sam Patterson won by KO/TKO

The model favored Sam Patterson at 77%. Sam Patterson won by KO/TKO — the model had it right.

Model pick: Axel Sola 64%
Model win probability: 36% / 64%
Market odds: 166 / -198
Predicted method: Decision
Result: Axel Sola won by Submission

The model favored Axel Sola at 64%. Axel Sola won by Submission — the model had it right.

Model pick: Magomed Tuchalov 81%
Model win probability: 81% / 19%
Market odds: -909 / 590
Predicted method: KO/TKO
Result: Magomed Tuchalov won by Decision - Unanimous

The model favored Magomed Tuchalov at 81%. Magomed Tuchalov won by Decision - Unanimous — the model had it right.

Model pick: Nurullo Aliev 64%
Model win probability: 64% / 36%
Market odds: -233 / 189
Predicted method: Decision
Result: Nurullo Aliev won by Decision - Unanimous

The model favored Nurullo Aliev at 64%. Nurullo Aliev won by Decision - Unanimous — the model had it right.

Model pick: Abdul Hussein 85%
Model win probability: 15% / 85%
Market odds: 455 / -667
Predicted method: Decision
Result: Abdul Hussein won by Submission

The model favored Abdul Hussein at 85%. Abdul Hussein won by Submission — the model had it right.