Past Event

UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2

How the model called every fight, and how it turned out.

2026-07-11T21:00Z

Main Card

Model pick: Max Holloway 75%
Model win probability: 25% / 75%
Market odds: 235 / -295
Predicted method:
Result: Max Holloway won by KO/TKO

The model favored Max Holloway at 75%. Max Holloway won by KO/TKO — the model had it right.

Model pick: Benoit Saint Denis 53%
Model win probability: 53% / 47%
Market odds: -122 / 100
Predicted method:
Result: Paddy Pimblett won by Submission

The model favored Benoit Saint Denis at 53%. Paddy Pimblett won by Submission — the model missed this one.

Model pick: Cory Sandhagen 59%
Model win probability: 59% / 41%
Market odds: -148 / 120
Predicted method:
Result: Mario Bautista won by Decision - Unanimous

The model favored Cory Sandhagen at 59%. Mario Bautista won by Decision - Unanimous — the model missed this one.

Model pick: Lone'er Kavanagh 69%
Model win probability: 31% / 69%
Market odds: 195 / -250
Predicted method:
Result: Brandon Royval won by Submission

The model favored Lone'er Kavanagh at 69%. Brandon Royval won by Submission — the model missed this one.

Model pick: Terrance McKinney 51%
Model win probability: 49% / 51%
Market odds: -120 / -104
Predicted method:
Result: King Green won by KO/TKO

The model favored Terrance McKinney at 51%. King Green won by KO/TKO — the model missed this one.

Prelims

Model pick: Robert Whittaker 53%
Model win probability: 47% / 53%
Market odds: 102 / -125
Predicted method:
Result: Robert Whittaker won by KO/TKO

The model favored Robert Whittaker at 53%. Robert Whittaker won by KO/TKO — the model had it right.

Model pick: Gable Steveson 93%
Model win probability: 93% / 7%
Market odds: -1430 / 850
Predicted method:
Result: Gable Steveson won by KO/TKO

The model favored Gable Steveson at 93%. Gable Steveson won by KO/TKO — the model had it right.

Model pick: Adrian Yanez 79%
Model win probability: 21% / 79%
Market odds: 310 / -420
Predicted method:
Result: Adrian Yanez won by KO/TKO

The model favored Adrian Yanez at 79%. Adrian Yanez won by KO/TKO — the model had it right.

Model pick: Luke Riley 74%
Model win probability: 74% / 26%
Market odds: -265 / 205
Predicted method:
Result: Luke Riley won by KO/TKO

The model favored Luke Riley at 74%. Luke Riley won by KO/TKO — the model had it right.

Early Prelims

Model pick: Wang Cong 53%
Model win probability: 47% / 53%
Market odds: 100 / -124
Predicted method:
Result: Wang Cong won by Decision - Unanimous

The model favored Wang Cong at 53%. Wang Cong won by Decision - Unanimous — the model had it right.

Model pick: Damian Pinas 73%
Model win probability: 73% / 27%
Market odds: -265 / 205
Predicted method:
Result: Damian Pinas won by KO/TKO

The model favored Damian Pinas at 73%. Damian Pinas won by KO/TKO — the model had it right.

Model pick: Farid Basharat 87%
Model win probability: 87% / 13%
Market odds: -715 / 500
Predicted method:
Result: Farid Basharat won by Decision - Unanimous

The model favored Farid Basharat at 87%. Farid Basharat won by Decision - Unanimous — the model had it right.

Model pick: Ryan Gandra 57%
Model win probability: 57% / 43%
Market odds: -136 / 110
Predicted method:
Result: Ryan Gandra won by KO/TKO

The model favored Ryan Gandra at 57%. Ryan Gandra won by KO/TKO — the model had it right.

Model pick: Alessandro Costa 71%
Model win probability: 71% / 29%
Market odds: -235 / 185
Predicted method:
Result: Alessandro Costa won by Submission

The model favored Alessandro Costa at 71%. Alessandro Costa won by Submission — the model had it right.